Shane Byrne knows three race wins and 'something incredible' is needed to clinch a third British Superbike Championship title in his local Brand Hatch round this weekend.
The HM Plant Honda rider has suffered the most during the Showdown stage. The Englishman led the standings for most of the 'Main Season' before starting the Showdown phase in second place, behind Tommy Hill (Yamaha).
But Byrne hasn't finished on the podium during the four Showdown races so far, at Donington and Silverstone, leaving him fourth in the standings and 44 points behind John Hopkins (Suzuki) heading into the Brands triple-header finale.
A maximum of 75 points remain up for grabs, and Byrne believes he will need every one of them.
"Brands Hatch is like my back garden so performing strongly there is always important to me as I get so much support. We come into the final three races at Brands Hatch on the back foot after the first two rounds of the Showdown but that's how it is," said Shakey.
"Nothing short of three race wins will be enough. Myself and the HM Plant Honda team will be doing everything we can to achieve that. We had a few laps at Cadwell Park on Monday lunchtime but we utilised the time well and we were able to test a few changes that we didn't have time for at Silverstone.
"We were only using old tyres but we were not too far off; in fact on one lap we were as quick as one of my race laps from the round there in August. We are taking the positives from that to Brands Hatch this weekend and if we do win the races and something incredible happens then we could still be champions again."
HM Plant Honda team manager Havier Beltran is well aware that nothing is yet decided.
“It is still mathematically possible for Shakey to win the title; he is down on points compared to the leading pair, but as we saw last season anything can happen," he said.
Beltran was referring to Ryuichi Kiyonari, who moved from third to first in the final round of last season's inaugural Showdown. That won't happen this year, with the Japanese already out of mathematical contention, but Kiyo is determined to end a frustrating season on a high.
“I really want results. I don't want to end the season in the same way as we have at other rounds," he said. "It won't be easy, but it is my favourite track and with three races we have a better opportunity to make changes."