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Lowes for me...he's just got be harder & not let the more experienced riders intimidate him. If he can pull the moves he did in the latter part of last season,but this time with the advantage of a well sorted blade,then a real contendor. A good depth of field this year so it could be any of the top 10-12 riders....think showdown may actually stifle the championship this year, sbk hasn't needed such a competition within another & look how good their season finales have been.