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I actually think Mark might call quits himself sooner than expected. It's never really been about money for him (otherwise he wouldn't be living in the UK) and he already won races so there's only a championship to achieve left on the list. I think once he realises it's really not going to happen (say Seb beats him quite convincingly again this year or RBR isn't dominant anymore), there's no reason to be there anymore. I don't see him going back to a midgrid team and like mentioned above apparently the red car (if they'd still have him) hasn't got the appeal on him like it has on most other drivers.
I just don't see him do a Barichello and still be there at 40.