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These arent my words, they are Ferraris Crew tester driver(Marc Gene/SpanishTV commentator): "I was totally surprised to see FA choose,unlike Massa, a FULL/Wing-FULL/Wet setup. Later this made sense to me, as FA explained :Ferrari cant match the DRY pace of Macca,RBR neither even Renault, so his bet is for a full wet race, as shown in FP1"
Its a bold guess, Whether it is a Fools bet, or smart one depends entirely on GODs listening his prayers, and the changing weather.. .