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I have no doubt that Massa could easily challenger for the title, he is capable enough to do so, he was champion for 15 seconds or so.
But I don't think he can anymore mentally.
After being taken out by Buttons Brawn you have to think whether he has the confidence behind cars, I mean the Brawn was such a rare thing to happen, but it happened. And now knowing he is the no 2 driver. I mean those events have to knock your confidence, coupled with rumors of being dropped from Ferrari with no prospects of going elsewhere, who knows. It may spur him on.