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I would be surprised if Vettel joined Ferrari with Alonso there. I think Webber will be at Ferrari next year, Perez in 2014 and then Vettel will join when Alonso retires. There's so much time for the picture to change, but we know that Vettel wants to chase records and for the next few years Red Bull will likely be the place to be in those terms, before Seb decides he wants a different challenge.