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Lotus' improvement/development curve is no better than those in front of them. They need now to out-develop Red Bull, Ferrari, and anything McLaren magically pulls out of the hat, and hold off those on their heels likely to have a few good days before this is over. I'd say the best outcome for 2012 is a 3rd or 4th, with one or even both McLaren's in the mirror - that would be awesome result for a first year return to F1 with a freshly restructured team.