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Senna's been great recently, very consistent driver, and always seems to gain position during a race. Leading 6-2 in terms of point scoring and not causing any incidents on track, and if he was given FP1 to set his car up he would be performing even better.
Maldonado is very quick over one lap, and has a race win under his belt this year. Consistency is an issue as well as on track incidents, but as I said, has a race win :/
Chances look slim for Bottas.