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If Alonso and Ferrari do exactly what they have done so far, Alonso wins this. Kimi, Vettel, Weber and Hamilton will be dicing the points to a degree that will make attaining the gains they need tough. Mix in Rossberg, Maldanodo, Grosjean and Perez, and things get messy. The only chance is for someone to breakaway and consistently finish well beyond their first half performance among those seeking same, while whittling down the Alonso lead by finishing ahead of him by an average of 5+points per race. Good luck with that.