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Hamilton is in my view, one of the top two drivers in F1, but if he goes to Mercedes, i think he might win a few races at the start of a seasonif they build a decent car, but historicly (in various guises) they have been poor at developing the package (they JUST about held on as brawn) so he can kiss another title goodbye if he goes there. So IF it is true that he is only interested in winning (which i don't believe) he won't go there. The other factor, is that as he is managed by a well known management group, they will want the biggest payout they can get, so they may well be focused on their own interests rather than hamiltons.