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I am going to put another spanner in the works here: I think Mercedes will go all out to recruit Adrian Newey for the middle of next year, to develop a car for the regulations coming in 2014. Then between him, Ross Brawns' technical knowledge and maybe even help from Rory Bryne, as a consultant, they will be unbeatable with the budget of Mercedes.
Transition year 2013 and bring on 2014, NEW regs & NEW man and WDC.