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Abu Dhabi isn't the crutial moment.
I'd say it was at the Belgian Grand Prix. Alonso went in there full of confidence. Then Grosjean decided to show off his Kamikaze skills. Red Bull and Vettel grabbed a large bag of points that day and Alonso and Ferrari since pressed the panic button while Red Bull flew (no pun intended) away in this title.
If Alonso hadn't lost out at Spa, he would be the champion