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Button reminds me of Alonso in many respects - not the absolute quickest driver, but he makes up for it with consistent and error free races. Like Alonso, he's better than most in the rain. I'm baffled by people who rate Alonso as one of the fastest drivers. He himself has admitted that he's not - and he's not exactly renowned for his modesty.
Button had four DNF's and several other races marred by problems this year, without which he might well have mounted a title challenge. He won't be the bookies favorite to win in 2013, but he'll probably be third favorite after Vettel and Alonso. If the McLaren is as strong as this year and they fix the reliability issues then there's no reason he can't win.