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Everyone is saying that it will be close because the rules are pretty much the same of last year. Than guess what? Mercedes seems to be two seconds faster than twelve months ago. Think about that another team (Red Bull, Ferrari or McLaren) has found two seconds too and their rivals just one. They whould smash the opposition. Yes it looks an imposible scenario but one team should gain an early advantage. I am praying that the top teams have a similar performance between them all the year because I really want to watch the 5 world champions in an open fight and people like Adrian Newey remaining aside. Because if Vettel manages to win the title with Red Bull being the 2nd or 3rd best package, he will finally demonstrate that he is the best out there, better than Alonso and Hamilton. Honestly I doubt that Vettel is that driver but I may be wrong.