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While the speculation as the result of this years tests is going on here is some facts from the past 3 years.
Fastest times results after testing in Barcelona for the past 3 years and the championship winning team/driver is well known.
Barcelona 2010 Vettel 5th fastests 1-20, 667s + 0.195s.
Barcelona 2011 Vettel 8th fastests 1-22, 933s + 1.188s.
Barcelona 2012 Vettel 11th fastests 1-23, 688s + 1.578s.
Barcelona 2013 Vettel 8th fastests 1-22, 614s +2.384s