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'....Button is only fast enough to challenge the top guys when he has a distinct car advantage...'
Like in 2011 when he beat his team mate in an identical car. What advantage, pray tell, did he have over Lewis Hamilton that year? Other than an engaged brain and superior driving skills. Oh, and also beat Webber in a Red Bull, a much better car than the McLaren that year.
Jenson's success in F1 has nothing to do with car 'advantage' and everything to do with a set-up that suits his driving style. If McLaren have built a car that works for him his way, and if they can get the tyres to work effectively, he'll stand a great chance this year of being WDC again.