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Whilst I agree that it's highly unlikely that a front wing upgrade alone would yield anywhere near a second in lap time, depending on the development potential that is, you have to remember that it' is, by some distance THE single most important piece of the entire aero package. The front wing dictates the air flow to and arround every single part of the car which in turn dramitically affects the efficiency of whole package, so there could be a considerable difference across the two.
Grosjean is quick, and sure he needs to settle a little more, but Lotus do have well documented development issues, least of all budget and pace when looking at the competition, basically they don't have the resources to build two cars at the minute ... which is unfortunate for Grosjean but he is a quick driver, no doubt and I can see so much potential ... I like the guy, and he's a good driver.