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I like Button, but I don't think he's top draw. I suppose he has to say he has a chance but he knows deep down that he does'nt. Several things count against him, (1) He drives for Mclaren, (2) He does'nt qualify well enough, (3) He's erratic in the races, one race brilliant, next race no grip, (4) This years car is off the pace and unless Mclaren can fix it he's at best a midfielder, (5) Poor pitstops and unreliability, (6) There are at least four drivers who he can't match on a regular basis. To do it with all that against him would indeed be lucky and he should'nt be counting on luck or the lack of it in others.