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bob. you seem to be getting it today!
but you are certainly on the ball. first of all, it is nice to see merc getting some result, even if it is only pole in one race. but on tyres, they have been bad and the softs will only last 6-7 laps. so lulu would need to get a cushion of maybe 20 secs in those first laps. of course, all the other softees will have to do the same. as soon as they pit, those on mediums will sweep by, change to mediums again mid race and then put on the softs for the last couple of laps.
we may not know who is likely to win until the last few laps. could be interesting.