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Vettel "outbraking himself and running off" seemed to me to be RBR's way of strategically placing him on the clean side of the grid for the start. Pretty sure Seb will be past him on the start and be done with him Button for the day.
While this is traditionally a strong track for Mercedes and for Hamilton, I think this year that Kimi is stronger at conserving these weak Pirellis. Even with the superior strategy I don't think Seb will finish in front of Kimi and probably not in front of the pair of the Mercedes. Button, even with the better tire strategy will finish no higher than 7th unless there are retirements from Vettel, Kimi, or the Ferraris and Mercedes.