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VdG drove the same car in P2 and still was a lot quicker than Kova. Sure different circumstances etc but the difference is such that all the people saying he would be a lot quicker right off the bat than the current drivers is simply wrong.
As for his judgement, he claimed that the car has problems all around but that the main problem is with the rear, it's twitchy and doesn't seem to react well to the normal changes you'd make to make it less twitchy. He said the team basically needs to redesign the rear/come with significant upgrades.
Coincidentally, this is exactly what vdG has been saying all along...