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do you know about potential energy Taipan?
Monaco is supposed to be the lowest consumer of fuel among the tracks in F1 right now. Ergo, the cars will see less of a deviation in max fuel vs limited fuel, so it will be easier even fro Mercedes to get the balance of their car figured out. Now, Raikonen, is pretty handy, Mark is good around Monaco, so is Nico, so pole for Lewis is not in the bag, but this track is not going to hurt the Merc, and infact, Lewis should be the difference with the front tires, all he needs is Mercedes to give him level support with his teammate.
McLaren have almost no chance of getting anywhere at this track, I dont even think they will qualify in the top 8, Mercedes will fight for the win, if they manage a good qualifying, and Lewis doesnt have any setup issues like he did last race.