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Jensen will do better here. Their lack of pace won't be such a handicap, but jensens ability to kiss the walls will help. The McLaren seems to go better with a lighter load, and these fractions, coupled with another small step forward for the team, will probably ean he should be fighting for 5th legitimately. Add in the attrition rate and perhaps he will do better still.
Biggest problem will be the qualifying position. He should make it into the top eight here, but the winner has to be Alonso, all the way.