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For several years now Alonso and Ferrari have based their strategy around playing the percentages. Now history shows that this has often led to world titles but what it doesn't tell us is was this strategy employed consistently in achieving those results? What recent history does show is that this strategy hasn't worked for Alonso and Ferrari. Also, to count on your adversaries to have problems isn't a strategy, it's blind faith.
I would suggest that a more aggressive strategy toward winning races is needed at Ferrari. Stop playing the underdog and being apologists! Race for victory and the rest will follow.