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Vettel is dominant but you can't rule out Alonso, as long as Ferrari keep developing the car which they historically have done till the very end of the season.
Raikkonen is still in the hunt, but they need more consistency Lotus. Pirelli want to bring in the new ties which should make things very different but it looks like Lotus will resist them all the way, so who knows how the second part of the season will turnout.
In my opinion McLaren have been out of it from near the beginning of the season, and now Button has made this official.