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OK, I don't have any inside information but I wouldn't mind betting £10 that Kimi doesn't go to RB. Vettel wants to be the most succesful GP driver ever, he loves all the statistics. RB don't want to lose him to another team and although he may be mates with Kimi off the track, what happens on the track is totally different. What are the other reasons you mentioned, oh sorry, you didn't mention.