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Based entirely on proven ability, you can't go past Raikkonen. He is probably the best choice of driver.
HOWEVER... is he the best business/long term choice? If Raikkonen goes to Red Bull, how long would he stay, either with the team or in the sport? There's every chance that he'll bail in two or three years time. With Ricciardo, on the other hand, you could expect five-plus years out of him. Possibly up to 10 years.
If Ricciardo is near enough to Raikkonen in whatever way you want to assess driving and racing ability, then I'd go for the former as a long term investment. But if there is daylight between them, Raikkonen has to be the choice.