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I think Riccardo will get the seat when Webber leaves, because why else have a junior team and Riccardo is more likely to play second fiddle to Vettel, than Raikkonen, you only have to look at what happened in the past when Vettel and Webber went head to head on the track, i think Riccardo will be a better Team player for Red Bull in the short term and long term, even though Raikkonen is the better driver.