Unbeaten in the opening half of the 2014 season, reigning MotoGP champion Marc Marquez currently holds a 77 point title lead.
That's an average increase of 8.6 points per race. If Marquez's championship advantage continues growing at that rate he'll have a 120 point lead after Aragon (round 14 of 18).
That projection would put him comfortably above the 100-point advantage needed to be crowned champion in front of his home Spanish fans after the September 28 race, which is also the final European event before three flyaway rounds.
The championship then returns to Spain for the Valencia finale.
Few doubt that Marquez will have wrapped up his second successive title by Valencia and, while the 21-year-old admitted it would be nicer to be crowned champion on home soil at Aragon, it is not a major consideration.
“No, I'm not thinking about winning the championship already in Aragon. The most important is to win this championship, but when doesn't matter,” he said.
“Sure it would not be the same as winning in Aragon if I won in Australia maybe, because all my family and everyone will be [at Aragon]. But it is too difficult to think that the second part of the season will continue in this way.
“We cannot forget that Dani, Jorge and Valentino are very good riders and someday I will stop winning. The important thing is to understand that and try to manage the [points lead].”
If Aragon proves out of reach, the following Japanese round would be the perfect location for Honda to celebrate.
In complete contrast to this season, Marquez won last year's title after a final round showdown with Jorge Lorenzo.