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"Elias will win Moto2 and Get a full factory ride with Honda"
Elias may well win the Moto2 ch'ship, but why would he be elevated back to MotoGP when he's already been shown the door from that class? What would have changed to make him a better MotoGP rider?
This is the problem with the Moto2 'graduation to MotoGP' principle. If ex-MotoGP riders like Elias are the class of the field, then what team manager would be tempted to sign the guys Elias is beating? If I was a MotoGP team manager I'd certainly keep an eye on riders like Tomizawa and Simon, but I'm not seeing anybody so far who's a definite for MotoGP.