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So far this year, Stoner and Lorenzo each have one win, but neither of the wins is a clear one---in Qatar things went wrong for Stoner, and in Jerez the weather made set up and tyre choice a bit of a lottery.
The Jerez weather was a bit of a shame, because Jerez was probably Lorenzo's best chance to show he can get a crushing win.
On to Estoril. Lorenzo won it 2008, 9 and 10 and came second (behind Pedrosa) 2011. Stoner has had much worse results, including the gravel a couple of years ago. So this is a chance (or, if you prefer, the pressure is on) for Lorenzo to win, preferably lights to flag.
After this, there are a bunch of tracks where Stoner has gone well, so, psychologically, the positions will be reversed.