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Agree with you bliz. With CS & BS detuned by big offs, no Nicky to pull something heroic at his home event, only a fast Bradl may stand between Dovi and 3rd.
Looking at race pace though suggest that no-ones going to get near Dani & Jorge. With Stoner in 6th and battered, Lorenzo can afford to take a safe 2nd behind DP today. I think it'll take an incident to shake up a Dani, Jorge & Dovi 1,2,3 today IMO. Bradl's going to really, really want that podium spot tomorrow too though, (& it could be his best chance)so I think he'll push hard.