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Stoner won the 2011 title in the last year of the 800cc machines. So everything was pretty much sorted back then. It's this year, 2012, that's the first year of the 1000cc.
I do believe it will be terribly difficult, not to say impossible, for Stoner to catch up to jlo though. His only hope is if Jorge runs out of engines, but even if Jorge starts from the pits he'll probably get close to the podium.
Also, Pedrosa is more consistent than Stoner this year. He seems a lot happier and more easy going than earlier years. This may be his year.