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I don't think Rea is even in serious contention, despite his wild card rides. Right now my understanding is that it's between Spies, Bautista and Redding. And probably in that order of preference. (Though the very latest rumour is that Spies will instead be going to the Ducati Junior team run by Pramac, as team mate to Iannone)
More info on Gresini options on motogp.com site.