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Im with diceman on this. Of course Marquez will win eventually, barring disaster, but will he win before one of the others is more tricky to say.
Crutchlow, Bautista and Bradl all have at least one year more motogp experience
Stoner is gone so that is one potential winner out of the mix. depending on what rossi does, it could be lorenzo and pedrosa between a new winner and the top step.
I think marquez will take half a season to win, like pedrosa in '06, and cal might just beat him to it...