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Like many others, the choice is next to none really isn't it? Unless there's been a Eureka moment at Ducati, then there's still only 4 bikes capable of lapping fast enough to win.
Assuming dry conditions and no incidents to the 4 on the factory Yams & HRC's, then as stated, I think the honours will remain between JL & Dp, unless one marque proves to have gained an edge the other bike can't match. In that event I'd still say the No1 rider from the factory in ascendancy is most likely to win.
I honestly would be very surprised if VR can beat JL, but you can't say it won't happen for sure. MM? Well the one test had nothing conclusive - he was fast, but not on a pace to trouble DP. Moto2's results don't guarantee the same success on the MotoGP bike either. Marquez & Rossi are the only choices available. There's too much unknown yet on how they'll run to choose which one will beat the other yet IMO though.