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As a rossi fan, I wouldnt bet casey will fail because like everyone else (including stoner), no one knows how he will do...he s starting from scratch.
What I will bet on though, is that you cannot use his ability on a bike as a guide because the laws of physics you all claim stoner to be a master of (and change according to some of you) impact cars in totally different ways (I doubt we will see stoner hanging off the car to turn it for example).
How about you bet he will be TC champion?