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He has had that bike developed around him since 2006 (exept for the Casey years) and achieved not very much.
He can be fast if the planets all line up in his direction, but falls apart to easily and isnt capable of putting a season long challenge together
If he couldnt do it last year with Stoner injured and Rossi on the Ducati I dont think he will do it against Lorenzo, Rossi on a competitive bike and Marqueze taking regular good points hauls.
Thats how I see it anyway