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You did watch the racing last year didn't you ?
In the racing I watched dovi finished ahead of crutchlow more times than crutchlow ahead of dovi, and nobody expected either of them to stay with Lorenzo so that point is immaterial. As for the honda's this year, we'll just have to wait and see as with all the other bikes. Speculation is pointless, test sessions are not a true indication of how the races will go either, until the chequered flag comes down on the first couple of races nobody really knows how thing are looking.
And racing is about more than just puting in a couple of fast laps, keeping a cool head under pressure , consistency and race craft will often get you just as good if not better results than pure speed alone which is why dovi ended the season ahead of cal.