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I agree with you, MM will certainly be good enough in some races but I fear he will crash a lot, there were times last year that he was just awesome, but also times when he was damn right recless, he does not seem to have any respect for any other riders, in this class he will be taught a lesson.
Rossi will be his old self this year, don't expect too many spectacular qualifying laps from him but expect fire works in the races because of his race craft he will be dominant, and Lorenzo will be with him all the way, closely followed by Danny.
Boy I think we are in for some racing this year, I hope I'm on the edge of my seat watching it.