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give it a rest
lorenzo was up by 7-8 points on Vale when he broke his leg. it was also the 4th (?) race of the year.
in 06, vale was 50+ points behind hayden at the halfway point and clawed back to +8 over hayden by Valencia.
no way he was worried about 8 points in the first quarter of teh season.
the REALITY is that Barbera, like usual, was following vale so vale slowed to let barbera pass, the tire cooled, he yanked the throttle and snap goes the twig.
but don't let FACTS get in the way of your fantasy.