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Based on the fact that it will be dry (they won't race in the wet at night as we saw a few years ago) i would say it will be Pedrosa or Lorenzo 1st with the other taking 2nd as long as there are no crashes between the top boys. Then 3rd will be between Rossi and Marquez.
If everything goes well then Cal will be 5th, i still don't believe he is as good as Rossi on that Yam and Marquez...well based on testing he is looking good.
Overall, if we have another crappy summer weatherwise then don't count Rossi out for the title. If we have a good summer it will be between Pedrosa and Lorenzo. Honda has the better bike but i believe that out of those two the better rider currently is Lorenzo.
Hopefully we just have an amazing season full of twists and turns and a bit of good natured banter....well i can hope for the latter