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Agree 2013 is probably DP's last chance. However, I really rate him - when healthy he is super-fast, consistent and has a superb strike-rate of wins/podiums every season.
Lorenzo's similar talents are the biggest hurdle IMO (barring incidents/accidents). If Dp's bike is as good or better than the Yam throughout the season, I think Dani can be WC against his 3 challengers.
Rossi? Yes he attracts massive No's of fans. But for me its a case (sorry) of quantity over quality there. far too many have the football fan mentality rather than a proper racing enthusiast mentality. Rossi will surely be missed when his time in MotoGP comes, but a lot of his fans will certainly NOT be missed if they fade away IMO.
If I was a betting man, then at this point I'd call the WC as (1,2,3,4) DP, JL, VR, MM by the way.