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The conditions are tricky so I don't think they will take too many risks. The first 10 laps will most likely be trying to find a good rhythm and the pushes will come later if they have the tyres left to do it. It would be stupid to push hard early and have no tyres left with 6 laps to go.
It looks like Marc may be the one to beat given his last sequence of laps were all very fast.