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re: "Wilco Zeelenberg did however make clear he felt Marquez would not have made the corner without the contact."
well... yeah... but the burden of this observation rests squarely with lorenzo. he had already just seen the kid lunging wildly a few turns prior and he successfully countered THAT by crossing back under.
the move AGAIN was to sucker him deep into the BZ, jump on the binders and square off to the inside. jay made a bad choice and in doing so ignored the arrow remaining in his quiver.
moral: "never stop fighting till the fight is done" (costner/elliot ness voice). here endeth the lesson.