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Yes, but you didn't cover riders with backing AND suitable talent. Those guys will always take the spot, so the guy without the backing will never get his chance to step up from a Satellite, and the 'fact' that the best riders go straight to factory teams will perpetuate. Doesn't mean it is a fact even if it is likely or even probable.
I still believe that it is more then possible that there is a very talented rider out there hidden away who could 'click' with a factory bike and be the next 'Stoner' type rags to riches story. But.. chances are they'll never get to prove it with the way the 'system' works.