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You do need a good amount of data though - if you look at the numbers, then actually Rossi's results from 3 early races v Dovi's are much better than his overall stats - simply as it includes a close 2nd place that is much better than his typical performance.
As I say - to really see if Ducati do make progress you'll need the full years stats to get a meaningful answer (unless the have a sudden 'Eureka' breakthrough in the bike and the results get significantly and obviously much better).