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Since you guys like to compare riders. Here is a far better comparison. Hector Barbera and Bradley Smith. They started their Rookie seasons similarly.
However Hector is a much better rider coming into MotoGP. But, Barbera is pushing a CRT around the track now.
Going one step further, All rookie riders to Tech 3 (Toselend, Spies and Crutchlow) have out performed Bradley in the opening 4 races (since 17 points is improvement).
To ME, that sheds a lot of light on the Smith future.