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Maybe Lorenzo doesnt have the sweet edge grip he used to like last year and he has to ride with less lean angle on the bike because Bridgestone have built a tire for Marquez.... Lorenzo gets very low to the ground though, he is much more impressive than Marquez because Lorenzo is actually riding closer to his bike where Marquez is overextending himself in order to exert more control about the lean angle in case the bike slips out. Marquez is too rough at the apex imo, but it doesnt seem to be bothering his tires.
It's pretty clear though, Dani could have won at least 3/4 races this year had he not had setup issues during the first two rounds and Marquez probably could have won all 4 rounds if he didnt consistently make so many mistakes. Honda can probably win this race by about 10 seconds, especially if the tires are not giving them any problems.
Wonder if Bradl will be able to get 3rd? He did pretty good last year despite running Hayden off.