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I am not sure he crashed at Le Mans because of Hayden, although it certainly looked like it... It think it was probably that bump he sais he hit or that he was pushing the hardest when the track was starting to dry out . If you look at the times, he set the second fastest lap of the race , second only to Pedrosa, the lap before he crashed. On the MCN interview he said he had slowed down because of problems with his visor but was planing to push again and try to take Cal and maybe Dovi. I know it sounds like 'sure , you say that now' but he normally doesn't make up excuses like that so I am inclined to believe his version of the story.
Mugello will be different as will probably be dry, so if he wants to be on the podium you're right he'll need to find a good setting and try to beat Lorenzo. The Hondas look just too strong at the moment.